Saifedean Ammous Predicts Tether and Bitcoin’s Impact on the Dollar’s Endgame
Saifedean Ammous, renowned CEO of Saifedean.com and author of The Bitcoin Standard, recently delivered a keynote at the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, sounding the alarm on the inevitable decline of the U.S. dollar. In his data-driven presentation, Ammous positioned Bitcoin as the sole rational hedge against what he sees as the dollar’s unavoidable fate.
Using compelling projections and flow charts, Ammous highlighted Tether’s potential to surpass its U.S. dollar reserves through its Bitcoin strategy. He envisaged a scenario where Tether’s peg could break upwards, with 1 USDT potentially equaling 1.02 USD, gradually revaluing as the dollar weakens, transforming Tether into a relatively stablecoin amid the dollar’s decline.
Furthermore, Ammous emphasized the self-reinforcing cycle where increased USDT demand drives the need for more BTC reserves by Tether, subsequently boosting Bitcoin prices, leading to further revaluation. He unequivocally stated, “Buying bitcoin is the smartest thing anybody could do,” underscoring the significant impact on the market.
In a bold forecast, Ammous painted a picture of the end of the USD era, envisioning USD reserves dwindling to zero in comparison to BTC reserves. He depicted a scenario where USDT would continue to appreciate until it is redeemable in Bitcoin, labeling Tether as a “transition monetary system.” His conclusion left no room for ambiguity, asserting that even the most optimistic outlook for the USD pales in comparison to the bullish prospects for BTC.
Ammous’s analysis portrays the dollar as being on a downward trajectory while Bitcoin, characterized by its “number go up technology,” continues its ascent. He simplifies his thesis by stating, “The thing that goes up is going to overtake the thing that goes down,” encapsulating the essence of his argument succinctly.
In his insightful keynote, Saifedean Ammous elucidated the potential ramifications of Tether and Bitcoin on the looming dollar crisis, emphasizing the importance of considering alternative hedges amidst the shifting financial landscape.
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